Lesson 2
The Money Supply Hierarchy
When analyzing 'money supply,' understand which layer you're looking at. M2 can grow while credit contracts (money hoarded). Credit can expand while M2 is stable (leverage increasing). Track multiple layers to get the full picture.
Not all 'money' is created equal. Understanding the hierarchy helps you see how money flows through the system.
The Pyramid:
M0/Monetary Base (Top of Pyramid):
- Bank reserves at the Fed + physical currency
- Created by the Fed (highest quality)
- ~$5-6 trillion typically
M1:
- M0 + checking deposits at banks
- Most liquid β spendable immediately
- ~$18 trillion
M2:
- M1 + savings deposits + money market funds + small time deposits
- What most people think of as 'money supply'
- ~$21 trillion
M3+ (Shadow Money):
- M2 + repos + commercial paper + other shadow instruments
- Not officially tracked anymore, but represents most credit
- ~$30+ trillion
The Key Insight:
The Fed controls M0 (the base). Banks multiply M0 into M1 and M2 through lending. Shadow banks multiply further into M3+ through repo and leverage.
Each layer involves more credit and less 'real' money. Each layer can expand (boom) or contract (bust) independently. A shadow banking bust can evaporate M3 even if M0 is stable.
The Money Multiplier:
Traditionally, banks could lend out most of their reserves, creating deposits that became someone else's reserves, which got lent again. This 'multiplier' turned $1 of Fed money into $5-10 of credit.
Post-2008, this multiplier is more complex (shadow banking, reserve levels, regulatory capital), but the concept still applies: the Fed creates base money, and the financial system amplifies it.
Check your understanding
Lesson Quiz
Quiz Check
When the Fed does QE, what actually happens mechanically?
Quiz Check
Why didn't 2009-2019 QE cause high consumer inflation despite massive money creation?