Module 11
The Liquidity Cycle
The 5-Basket framework and regime identification
Lesson 1
The 5-Basket Framework
The 5-Basket Framework is a systems approach to understanding the liquidity-driven economy.
Lesson 2
Basket 1: Macro Regime Metrics
Basket 1 is the foundation.
Lesson 3
Basket 2: Technical Analysis
Basket 2 tells you what price is doing independent of your fundamental view.
Lesson 4
Baskets 3-5: Sentiment, Fundamentals, Positioning
**Basket 3: Sentiment** Sentiment is contrarian at extremes: - VIX > 30: Fear extreme, often marks bottoms - VIX < 12: Complacency, vulne...
Lesson 5
The ~65-Month Cycle
Michael Howell's research identifies a ~65-month (5.4 year) global liquidity cycle driven by debt maturity walls and refinancing needs.